Monday, January 25, 2016

Book Review - Empires of the Sea

Empires of the Sea describes the Mediterranean sea battles between the Christian and the Ottomans between 1521 and 1580.  The Ottomans, under Suleiman the Magnificent (Suleiman I), used their overwhelming numbers in both men and ships to assert their claim to the eastern Mediterranean.  They announced their arrival by sacking Rhodes (Siege of Rhodes).

Rhodes

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Reading Notes

The Christians kept Malta but lost Cyprus in the Ottoman-Venetian war.  How the hell did Venice still control Cyprus in the 1570's?  Suleiman had died and Selim II was in charge of the Ottomans at this point.  Much like the siege of Rhodes the Ottomans were just too much for the island population (especially when the Holy League AKA Phillip II dragged their feet again) and after 11 months the two sides reached an agreement on surrender.  However, unlike the Knights Hospitaller who were allowed to leave under Ottoman protectorate back to Italy, the Venetian leader Marco Antonio Bragadin was not so lucky.


The Ottomans first took the town of Nicosia and followed up with the 11 month siege of Famagusta.  Here is a sweet picture of Nicosia:
I can only assume the Battle of Lepanto (in the Gulf of Corinth) is to come which should be good for the Christians.  

Me - Hey Bragadin, you became a Martyr and a hero, how do you feel?
Bragadin - Well... Those two weeks with the festering wounds from my cut off ears and nose weren't very sweet.  Didn't really enjoy being dragged around the walls of the town with bags of dirt and rocks on my back.  Being hoisted up to the yard arm of a Turkish ship and taunted by solders was less than ideal.  None of it was as bad as being tied naked to a column in the center of the city and being flayed alive.  I hear that I was then drawn and quartered only to be put back together and stuffed.  They put me on an ox and marched me around the city.  Then they sent me to the Sultan as a trophy.  But when they brought me back to Italy almost a decade later I was a hero.  Yeah, I guess that makes up for the Venetians not coming to my aid.  Totally square guys. 

Saturday, January 9, 2016

Reading Notes

1/9/16

The Japanese were obviously successful in their attack on Pearl Harbor but failed in finding the US carriers.  Yamamoto felt like a second wave of attacks would have slammed the door on the US but Nagumo felt it was prudent to return home with the entire fleet unharmed.  Kimmel felt that Yamamato's plan of a second waive could have debilitated the US oil reserves which were above ground.  Alas, the second wave never occurred and I'm pretty sure the US is about to kick some ass at midway.

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Suleiman is leading the siege of Malta.  Unlike the siege of Rhodes, Malta is a much more desolate island which makes siege warfare more difficult.  Also, the local Maltese soldiers were bad ass.  The Ottoman empire had been basically gaining territory for the past forty years and this was a big little W for the Christians.  Finally.  Excited to see how this turns out.

Barbarossa was Suleiman's right hand man.  After he died the Christians started to gain a little ground.  Basically ruled the Mediterranean until his death.

Charles the V gave way to Philip II and although Charles was kind of a G (expept for the inbreeding and weird freak face) it seems like Philip and his new world wealth might get the W.  This just happens to be the same Philip that ended up doing the Tango with Elizabeth I and Drake.

16th century Maltese soldier.

Friday, August 9, 2013

Will Martin Perez beat the Astros?



Meeting Martin



The post-hype 22 year old Venezuelan seems to have a tenable rotation spot as the season nears its home stretch.  The 6’ Lefty was the 15th ranked prospect in 2010 according to Baseball Prospectus but the scouts slowly soured on him as he ranked 33rd in 2011, 36th in 2012 and 59th in 2013.  He got six starts and six relief appearances after being called up in 2012 posting a less than stellar 5.45 ERA with a 1.63 WHIP.  His K% came in at 14.1 with an 8.55% BB percentage.  His 2013 numbers have been better with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.39 matched with a K% of 15.1% and a BB% of 7.4.  However, his FIP has actually regressed in 2013 currently at 4.29 compared to his 4.15 in 2012.  Yet his xFIP is now at 3.98 compared to his 2012 mark of 4.67.  But still… Yuck. 

But, he’s playing the Astros so it should be a no brainer to start him, right?

Well… the Astros aren’t the whipping boy one might expect and are actually showing some signs of being a middle of the pack offense against LHP.  Their wOBA is 15th at .304 and their wRC+ is 16th at 92.  Should you start a less than average pitcher against a middle of the pack offense?  Tough call.  There is one juicy apple hanging from the tree.  The Astros lead the league in K% against LHP at 27%.  Yes, over one in four batters heel turn and head back to the dugout. 

Misc Nonsense

I guess it all comes down to how lucky you feel.  He’s currently slated to throw opposite Dallas Keuchel who was sent to the pen after giving up 6 runs over 7.1 innings against the Blue Jays on 7/27.  He didn’t do very well in the pen either giving up five runs over his last 2.1.  Keuchel will most likely get shelled.  It’s also interesting to note that the Astros have the 2nd highest BABIP against LHP @ .325 so there might be some (four letter word omitted)… well, we won’t go that far but you have the number so do with it what you will.  I also heard Ron Shandler say he was concerned with Perez’s K% so who knows if you’ll even cash in on those K’s. (Note – Not even sure if that was Ron Shandler but I’m fairly sure I heard that on one of the 900 podcasts I listen to)

Final Verdict
I think he gives up less than two runs (screw ER), K’s 5+ and gets the illusive W.